Game Of Thrones Season 7 Death Odds
Spoiler alert: This article contains plot points leading into season eight of “Game of Thones.”
So if you haven’t finished season seven, you probably want to scram.
Like we did with season six and seven, we provide the odds on possible storyline directions, and discuss who will finally meet their maker. Look for the odds below to be updated as the months roll along. Game of Thrones Death Pool Odds Photo Credit: HBO. The odds below are each character’s chances of being offed in Season 8. “Game of Thrones” Death Odds: 5-1 Greyworm dies 5-1 Beric Dondarrion dies 5-1 Littlefinger 7-1 The Wall is destroyed by the Night King or Viserion 8-1 Yara Greyjoy dies 8-1 Theon Greyjoy dies 10-1 The Mountain dies in CleganeBowl 10-1 Jorah Mormont dies 15-1 Bronn dies, doesn’t claim his castle 20-1 The Hound dies in the CleganeBowl 20-1 Cersei dies. Cersei Lannister: The most gifted survivor and manipulator has overcome the most challenging. The seventh and penultimate season of the fantasy drama television series Game of Thrones premiered on HBO on July 16, 2017, and concluded on August 27, 2017. Unlike previous seasons, which consisted of ten episodes each, the seventh season consisted of only seven episodes. Like the previous season, it largely consisted of original content not found in George R. Martin's A Song of Ice.
Last chance …
The final season of “Game of Thrones” will bring the wrath of the undead, who are sure to kill countless important characters. Even if those characters prevail over The Night King and his undead army, their armies of the living will proceed to kill each other.
So after a few seasons of protecting their most important characters — and even bringing Jon Snow back to life — it may be the beginning of the end for a handful of the most pivotal characters in the series. With that thought in mind, let’s run through some of the show’s essential characters in order of how likely they are to die, from least-likely to most-likely.
30. Samwell Tarly: He may get involved in the fighting during The Battle of Winterfell, but it’s tough to imagine him dying when he’s probably the fictional scribe for “A Song of Fire and Ice.”
29. Lord Varys: His anthem is Destiny’s Child’s “Survivor.” Varys didn’t make it this far to get picked off at the end.
28. Hot Pie: He’s probably going to cook hot pies until he dies of old age.
27. Missandei: In theory, you’re never safe if you’re always hanging out with Daenerys Targaryen, especially with Cersei devising some sort of assassination attempt for the coming season. But Missandei should be at a distance from the fighting or in the company of dragons.
26. Sansa Stark: She’s alive after spending time in King’s Landing under the thumb of Cersei Lannister, in The Vale under Petyr Baelish and in Winterfell under Ramsay Bolton-Snow. She can handle a few skeletons with swords.
25. Ser Davos Seaworth: Blackwater bay is the only time we’ve really seen Davos get into the fighting. He’s a military adviser who seems to keep away from the actual military action. He’s also been on the losing side of multiple wars, and yet has come out alive.
24. Drogon: One of the dragons already died. I can’t see another one going down, especially not her favorite.
23. Rhaegal: Rhaegal will presumably be Jon Snow’s dragon. How likely is Jon’s death? Rhaegal might go with Jon.
22. Bronn: A one-name character, like Neymar, Bronn has proven to be one of the best three swordsmen and swordswomen in the world. He’s up there with The Hound and Brienne of Tarth.
21. Podrick Payne: He’s lovable but expendable. Call it a hunch, but Pod seems as likely as anyone to die in this final season. He’s not a gifted fighter, and he’s just important enough that his death would hurt.
20. Tyrion Lannister: He fought in The Battle of the Green Fork and was lucky to get knocked on unconscious before he made it to the battlefield. He fought in the Battle of Blackwater Bay and was lucky to leave with a massive scar across his face. He must know that he should stay off the battlefield. The strategist, world-traveler and escape-artist will probably find a way to survive. But then again, he was dumb enough to throw himself into battle before. Maybe he’ll do it again.
19. Gendry (Baratheon): He’s important, so killing him would be sad but not exactly consequential. (It would be even more sad if he and Arya start a fling in this season.)
18. Tormund Giantsbane: He might be the most underrated fighter in Westeros. Wildlings get no respect. Still, he’s the kind of fighter that prefers to be in the heart of the battle, which could result in a spear through the heart. That said, he’s not a high profile character — no one but the White Walkers want him dead.
17. Brandon Stark/Three-Eyed Raven: You could argue that Bran is kind of already dead, which is why I’ll include his title as the Three-Eyed Raven. He’s the Being-John-Malkovich puppet master of every man, woman, child and animal in Westeros. But The Night King is gunning for him.
16. Theon Greyjoy: He somehow escapes every situation with his life (even if he lost his penis). He’s bound to find the end of a sword, right?
15. Greyworm: He’s likely to be in the thick of any fighting. He’ll be in the mix when Dany’s company fights the White Walkers. Then if the living beat the dead, they’ll be left to fight amongst themselves. And Greywork should also be on the battlefield for that, too. Even if Greyworm makes it through the battles, if Dany dies, he will, too.
14. Everyone dies and the Night King wins: Much of this list is based off the assumption that the living prevail. So we’ll toss out this conditional scenario. Rather than the death of one character, this would be a full-on zombie apocalypse where The Night King takes over Westeros until the end of Winter.
Game Of Thrones Season 7 Deaths
13. Jon Snow: It’s “A Song of Fire and Ice,” so it’s got to be about Jon, right? He’s the fire (Targaryen) and the ice (Stark). The question is whether he’ll live to see the end of the story. I’ll bet he does. But if they killed Jon’s uncle in Eddard Stark, then they could definitely kill Jon.
12. Daenerys Targaryen: Because I believe the story is about Jon — and because I think he’ll see this thing to the end — I have Dany’s chances being slightly worse than Jon’s. But they are such important characters, and important characters are definitely going to die this season, with some of them probably coming as a big surprise. Dany could be that surprise.
11. Arya Stark: As nimble and magical as she has become, she’s still small. Her magic has made her a deadly assassin when she can plan out her kills. When she’s surrounded by wights in the crypts of Winterfell, will she be able to fight her way out?
10. Jamie Lannister: He’s going to kill Cersei, right? He just has to live long enough to kill Cersei. The problem is that he’s not a gifted fighter with his left hand, and won’t be particularly capable of defending himself when he inevitably spurns Cersei and tries to join the good guys (Jon and Dany). With no one looking after him, can Jamie take care of himself? Will Brienne?
All Seasons Game Of Thrones
9. Beric Dondarrion: This dude has got to go. He’s a good fighter, but he’s died countless times (while getting reborn thanks to the Lord of Light). While the living might need to draw upon the Lord of Light in order to beat the undead, Dondarrion seems like a likely casualty somewhere along the way, maybe after saving Jon’s life on the battlefield and fulfilling his destiny.
8. Brienne of Tarth: Probably the most gifted person with a longsword in all of the “Game of Thrones” universe, Brienne won’t be an easy character to kill. But would she die to save Jamie Lannister? For sure. Would she die to complete her duty? No doubt. She cares too much about duty and honor. Those kinds of people die in this show.
7. The Hound: Just like Brienne, Sandor Clegane is a hard person to kill. And yet, his character has undergone a tremendous transformation over the course of this series. He would probably die for the right cause — especially after he’s killed his brother, Gregor Clegane.
6. Euron Greyjoy: He’s running out of allies. Hatable characters tend to live for a long time in “Game of Thrones.” But Euron will likely find that he’s bet on the wrong crown-seeking horse in Cersei. Dany or Jon will come for the treacherous Euron.
5. Jorah Mormont: Sam figured out how to keep the greyscale at bay. But this dude is definitely dying so that Dany can live.
4. Lady Melisandre: Behold her beauty. (No, that’s not The Night King pictured above.) Maybe this is my bias coming into play, but here’s hoping we see the end of Melisandre, who is — by my estimation — 10,834,063 years old. It’s her time. Maybe Davos can sneak a blade into her back at some point.
3. FrankenMountain: Whether his death comes at the hand of The Hound during Cleganebowl or a White Walker at the Battle of Winterfell, this undead behemoth is doubtlessly going down in season eight.
2. The Night King: This series has shown time and time again that evil can prevail over good. But this also isn’t a story about a Zombie takeover, right? Someone, probably Jon, is going to kill The Night King.
1. Cersei Lannister: The most gifted survivor and manipulator has overcome the most challenging circumstances. She’s Bill Belichick — or the New England Patriots. With a target on her back while playing a game that’s designed upon creating a new winner every year, she keeps winning. She seems to never stop winning. But the dynasty is coming to an end.
The summer is dark and full of terrors. At least, it will be soon, as season seven of hit HBO fantasy drama Game of Thrones is scheduled to return on July 16th. The official return of Cersei, Jon Snow and all of the characters we either love to hate or simply love arrives in mere days and with it could come a new death in a show known for killing the ones we love.
At this point, you’re either a die hard fan of the show that is fully caught up, or you’re just looking ahead to see if you want to go back and watch. We’re far beyond the point of spoiler warnings, though, so read at your own peril.
We all know by now that Jon Snow was dead but now isn’t and that Cersei worked hard to get herself back to the throne. Where we go from here is anyone’s guess, but death is at our doorstep and the knock is coming. What does that mean for some of our favorite characters? Probably nothing, at least initially. But Game of Thrones usually doesn’t waste much time before ripping our hearts out with a huge death and we can probably expect someone to perish relatively early.
All Deaths Game Of Thrones
It’s worth noting that the final two seasons of Game of Thrones have been cut down to just 13 episodes, so things are going to come at us pretty fast and even the biggest characters will quickly become vulnerable. But who will die first when Game of Thrones Season 7 touches down on HBO on July 16th?
Game of Thrones Death Odds
Most entertainment betting sites will produce updated Game of Thrones death odds at some point, but for now, all we have to go on are the Game of Thrones odds over at Ladbrokes (who also happen to offer two other GOT bets involving the Iron Throne). Here are the latest odds for who will die first in season 7 of GOT:
- Any Sand Snakes – Obara, Nymeria, Tyene, Sarella, Elia, Obella, Dorea, Loreze (6/4)
- Yara Greyjoy (4/1)
- Ellaria Sand (9/2)
- Petyr Baelish (5/1)
- Melisandre (6/1)
- Theon Greyjoy (7/1)
- Euron Greyjoy (9/1)
- The Hound (10/1)
- The Mountain (10/1)
- Brienne of Tarth (12/1)
- Olenna Tyrell (12/1)
- Ser Davos Seaworth (12/1)
- Samwell Tarly (14/1)
- Cersei Lannister (16/1)
- Jorah Mormont (16/1)
- Bran Stark (20/1)
- Jaime Lannister (20/1)
- Arya Stark (66/1)
- Daenerys Targaryen (100/1)
- Jon Snow (100/1)
- Sansa Stark (100/1)
- Tyrion Lannister (100/1)
Before we really dive into who might die first in Game of Thrones season 7, we need to consider a couple of things. For one, this bet isn’t asking us who will die at some point. It’s asking which one person will die first. GOT is great at ripping life away from us when we least expect it, so we know that anyone is fair game, but for the sake of this story and the momentum we have built up, the second aspect we probably need to consider is that certain players in the “great game” are probably safe for at least an episode or two.
One other thing to think about is that just because Game of Thrones kills a lot of characters and the show returns soon, doesn’t mean we’re necessarily going to see a death – much less a big one – right away in episode one of season 7.
I also think that as ruthless and random as Game of Thrones deaths seem at times, they actually end up being rather calculated and necessary. The Red Wedding was absolutely shocking when it happened, but Rob Stark and his mother played with fire and got burned. Their deaths – along with Ned Stark’s – were all necessary to fuel the fires in Arya, Sansa and of course, Jon Snow. We wouldn’t be where we are right now with all of their character arcs, had that tragedy not taken place.
You can really make that case right down the line, which should force us to think – which character is huge and necessary right now, but arguably holds more power as a death that serves as a precursor to something even bigger?
They’re Safe (Probably)
To be a little more specific, it is kind of interesting to think about the show’s current trajectory and how the creators could completely flip the script. The best way to start would be to have a huge power shift by completely shaking things up at the bottom of the current Game of Thrones death odds.
We’ve already seen Jon Snow, Sansa Stark, and Daenerys Targaryen survive what should have been actual deaths and they all seem to be headed for predictable endings. Is GOT going to just keep them on a calculated pace, or will they throw a massive curveball and kill one of them early on?
Probably not, right? These are understatedly two of the three biggest stars on the show (Tyrion might be the third) and it makes too much sense for one or both to end up ruling all of the kingdoms. Then again, the death of either would dramatically change everything and no one would really see it coming.
We need to brace for crazy things like that, which is why these options with insanely long odds absolutely are worth our time and a cursory bet or three. That being said, I’m not really biting here, as there is still a lot of story to be told and killing any of the 100/1 odds options off right away in episode one seems rather rash – even for Game of Thrones.
I’m also not overly worried about Samwell, Davos, Brienne, Cersei, Jorah, Bran, Jaime, Arya, Littlefinger, Tyrion or Olenna Tyrell – at least not yet.
Samwell is off in a library somewhere hunting down clues to help the good guys win and he’s just in general far away from any real danger. Davos is a loyal servant and while he’s admittedly not a good fighter, he’s with the good guys and is a fantastic voice of reason the show might want to hold onto. The same goes for Brienne, who has a friend on the other side in Jaime Lannister. Jaime himself is a huge piece to the show’s puzzle and while he seemingly is constantly in danger, he might be too big of a star to kill off in episode one.
I’m not too keen on Arya dying yet, either. She has gone through so much and is now an accomplished assassin. It’d be pretty annoying for her to survive so much and get so far, only to see it ultimately be a giant waste of time. The same goes for Cersei. She most certainly won’t reign forever and she won’t last through the duration of this series, but she just got back into power. That should be a pretty big part of everything we see in season 7, at least for a little while.
Bran is someone else who has had a ton of story devoted to them and has unfinished business. Him dying right away in season 7 would feel like a waste. Littlefinger (Baelish) is probably closing in on his own demise, but he’s such a brilliant character and he still yields some power, so I’m not sure he’ll be dispatched so quickly. He’s had his hands in so many evil works, too, so his situation feels more like a house of cards thing. I also don’t fear a quick exit for Tyrion Lannister, who despite his small stature has been one of the most powerful characters in the show. He’s on the most formidable team at the moment, too, so at least early on he’s probably safe.
It wouldn’t make much sense to carve out this amazing story and get to the final leg of the marathon with nobody to market it, right
The other two middling options would be Olenna Tyrell and Jorah Mormont. Tyrell is an enemy of the state in Cersei’s eyes, but she holds a lot of power and understandably will want vengeance for her family members being killed. I don’t see her going out quietly or early. Jorah could simply be left for dead, which is why I don’t fear him in this spot, either. He could succumb to grayscale without us ever having to see it, or he could take heed to his queen’s orders and actually stumble upon a cure and return to Khaleesi’s side.
I’ll be the first to admit that all of this logic could backfire in an instant, but on the surface, these don’t seem like the best starting points for the show in season seven in terms of characters to kill off.
They’re in Danger
Everyone is in danger on this show, truthfully, but there are some that stand out more than others. Before looking at the latest Game of Thrones season 7 death odds, I would have never thought of the sand snakes characters. We have strength in numbers with this bet, as we have numerous outs and they bleed out of an ongoing story. GOT could easily kill off one or more of them to start off season 7, which could give us some new blood being spilled and could also help move one of the many storylines along.
Simply based on the numbers (not really the odds or impact), this is a viable bet to get the ball rolling. We also need to fear for every Greyjoy known to man. The niece and nephew of Euron are going to meet up at some point and somebody in that trio is going to die, giving way to one ruler of the Iron Islands.
The only question is, are we going to see that come to a head right away in season 7, and will that death be the first one we see? I’m not so sure, as Euron Greyjoy has been built up as the next Bolton Ramsay, so if he’s going to be so evil, it wouldn’t make sense to kill him off so quickly. Because of that, it might be a solid bet to go against any of the Greyjoy’s dying in episode one.
Melisandre is certainly a viable contender to die, as she’s probably worn out her usefulness on the show and Davos did tell her that if he ever saw her again, he’d kill her. Perhaps she shows her face again and Davos ends up being a man of his word or maybe in retreat she runs into harm’s way elsewhere.
Another realistic option is what feels like an inevitable clash between brothers, The Mountain and The Hound. Cersei’s right-hand man may be needed to defend her at some point, and perhaps we get to see that early on with both of these brothers facing off. One final clash between the two feels unavoidable and it could serve to strengthen Cersei’s hold or loosen it dramatically.
Who Will Die First in Game of Thrones Season 7?
As you can see, we have a lot of options and even the ones we try to explain away with sound logic probably aren’t truly “safe”. That’s the harsh reality when you look at a show like Game of Thrones, especially when we’re down to the final two seasons being stretches across just 13 more episodes.
The option that stands out the most is the Sand Snakes. As we touched on before, you’ve got strength in numbers with this bet, but the odds obviously aren’t enticing. The logic is there, too, as just about everyone wants them dead at this point and they’re also little more than pawns in the great game.
Is anyone from Dorne a realistic threat to Cersei or anyone else? No, but others will want them dead and/or will see them as a stepping stone to greater rule. I see them being a necessary casualty at some point, if for no other reason than to simply close up some loops.
But they aren’t the best bet to target. The odds aren’t good and they’re not big enough of a death. If you want some upside and a little shock mixed together, I’d instead target Baelish at 5/1. Yara or any of the Greyjoy’s are at risk and I actually love the character of Littlefinger, but he’s shown his hand and has made too many enemies. I know I listed him among the “probably” variety in terms of surviving, but of that group, he is closest to the plank and he may be forced to walk it.
I’d certainly bet on the Sand Snakes due to the numerous outs, but I like Petyr Baelish as a fun pick with some upside, as well as a death many GOT fans will relish.
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